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Polymarket wallet 0xa1c94d8a4199b0f29e0b1f0af01fb82e054b4ecf · on Polymarket since Nov 21, 2025 · also shown as Critical-Toffee
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 701 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,079 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$274 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 337d | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BuyYes9¢ | $74 |
| 337d | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BuyYes9¢ | $100 |
| 337d | Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30? | BuyYes31¢ | $43 |
| 337d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $30 |
| 337d | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BuyYes9¢ | $100 |
| 337d | Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30? | BuyYes31¢ | $50 |
| 337d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes16¢ | $58 |
| 337d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $10 |
| 337d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes16¢ | $20 |
| 337d | Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30? | BuyYes30¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.