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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,994 | −$29 −0.3% | — | |
| 532d | wubddh | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 532d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 532d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,041 | −$98 −0.5% | — | |
| 532d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,326 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 532d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $27,972 | −$28 −0.1% | — | |
| 533d | commeowder | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Clown | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,184 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | Dave96 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,005 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | G122 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,104 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | VvVv3 fills | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo>99¢ | $12,987 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 533d | HuskyRRRRR | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,535 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,122 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 533d | Dustyribbons | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,105 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 534d | Zens2 fills | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,982 | −$33 −0.6% | — |
| 534d | Bukaj | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 534d | Zens2 fills | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,047 | +$18 +0.3% | 4 |
| 534d | nonkenny90 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 534d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,798 | +$128 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 534d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,456 | −$70 −0.6% | — | |
| 534d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,356 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 534d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 534d | System64 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $39,865 | +$203 +0.5% | 4 |
| 534d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$10 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 534d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,660 | +$40 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 534d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,839 | +$305 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 534d | VvVv | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,972 | +$28 +0.7% | 4 |
| 534d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $73,109 | +$586 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 535d | Retired-Davis | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,632 | +$68 +0.7% | 4 |
| 535d | commeowder | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,516 | +$44 +0.8% | 4 |
| 535d | bran1322 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,559 | +$41 +0.9% | 4 |
| 535d | 0x138aD4FD2E68C3468FaB74a6O1AD166894952a04 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,855 | +$23 +0.8% | 4 |
| 535d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | −$11 −0.8% | — | |
| 535d | Clown2 fills | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,821 | +$71 +0.9% | 4 |
| 535d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | +$18 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 535d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$13 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 535d | OPMSucks | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,906 | +$23 +0.8% | 4 |
| 535d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,511 | +$138 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 536d | taralynnbar | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,970 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 536d | 0x253d…3307 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 |
| 536d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo100¢ | $5,555 | +$28 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 536d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 536d | Smallpeepee2 fills | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,292 | +$41 +0.6% | 4 |
| 537d | nonkenny90 | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 |
| 537d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,707 | +$48 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 537d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | +$46 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 538d | Nowhere-Man | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,834 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 539d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,463 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 539d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$10 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 539d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 539d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,951 | +$50 +2.6% | 4 | |
| 540d | nedsta | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$18 +1.7% | 4 |
| 541d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,893 | +$22 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 541d | tagil | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,951 | −$49 −1.7% | — |
| 541d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$8 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 542d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,850 | −$267 −2.5% | — | |
| 543d | SlenderMan | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | +$23 +1.0% | 4 |
| 543d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$20 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 543d | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $21,817 | +$1,067 +4.9% | 4 | |
| 545d | tagil | Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$160 +3.2% | 4 |
If U.S. President Donald Trump is in the Russian Federation at any point on the date of May 9, 2025, Moscow Standard Time (GMT+3), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, Trump must physically be in the terrestrial or maritime territory of the Russian Federation. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.