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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tammy Baldwin | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eric Hovde | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715d |  LBZcapital | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,296 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 715d | LBZcapital | Eric Hovde | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,015 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 715d |  PaeniscusBit | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,254 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 715d |  PaeniscusKyu | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,952 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 715d | PaeniscusKyu | Eric Hovde | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d |  Apsalar2 fills | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,392 | +$645 +15% | 10 |
| 716d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Eric Hovde | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d |  sorcerer.02 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,849 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | tanguero24 | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,165 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 716d | fukumean | Eric Hovde | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,696 | −$1,696 −100% | 11 |
| 717d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,486 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 717d |  Cajetan4 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,139 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 717d | heedan2 fills | Eric Hovde | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $3,826 | −$3,826 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | monkingssam | Eric Hovde | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $17,564 | −$17,564 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | Oakheart - 4975 | Eric Hovde | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | C.am.miller | Eric Hovde | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $2,539 | −$2,539 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | cigarettes | Tammy Baldwin | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,880 | −$1,880 −100% | 10 |
| 717d |  aenews2 | Eric Hovde | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $2,760 | −$2,760 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | Trader0000 | Eric Hovde | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $2,937 | −$2,937 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | HLB-377 | Eric Hovde | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 10 |
| 717d | rg2024 | Tammy Baldwin | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 10 |
| 720d |  AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe | Eric Hovde | SellYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,439 | +$1,439 +100% | — |
| 720d | anciano | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$495 +49% | 15 |
| 721d | Apsalar2 fills | Eric Hovde | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $4,514 | +$1,538 +34% | 10 |
| 722d | captainrabbit2 fills | Eric Hovde | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,326 | −$2,326 −100% | 12 |
| 722d | cigarettes5 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,536 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 722d | AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe | Tammy Baldwin | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | +$1,440 +100% | — |
| 723d |  Charmie4 fills | Tammy Baldwin | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $6,197 | −$1,903 −31% | — |
| 723d | AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe | Tammy Baldwin | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 13 |
| 725d | AirdropFarmoor | Eric Hovde | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,465 | +$1,317 +53% | 10 |
| 730d | AirdropFarmoor | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$685 +46% | 10 |
| 730d | Apsalar | Tammy Baldwin | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | −$693 −49% | — |
| 730d | AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe2 fills | Eric Hovde | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $2,933 | −$2,933 −100% | 15 |
| 730d | khabib-706 | Eric Hovde | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | −$699 −47% | — |
| 731d | nonkenny90 | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$475 +45% | 10 |
| 734d | lava-lava | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$606 +45% | 10 |
| 734d | 0xfe91…70ff | Eric Hovde | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$633 +52% | 10 |
| 734d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $4,141 | +$1,655 +40% | 10 |
| 737d | 0xfe91…70ff | Eric Hovde | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $6,658 | −$2,102 −32% | — |
| 738d |  redbloodzcell | Tammy Baldwin | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,635 | −$1,148 −32% | — |
| 745d |  Kickstand7 | Tammy Baldwin | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | −$1,095 −100% | 10 |
| 749d | LisanAlGaib | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,148 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 749d | 🫠. | Eric Hovde | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,037 | −$1,037 −100% | 10 |
| 759d | route | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,991 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 760d | SPECK | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$360 +22% | 10 |
| 760d |  fhantombets | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,418 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 765d |  BullsFan23 | Eric Hovde | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,431 | −$570 −23% | — |
| 765d |  ImJustKen | Eric Hovde | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $3,032 | −$3,032 −100% | 17 |
| 767d | khabib-7062 fills | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $4,889 | +$1,036 +21% | 10 |
| 768d | khabib-706 | Eric Hovde | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | +$443 +20% | 10 |
| 785d | Charmie | Eric Hovde | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | −$360 −22% | — |
| 794d | BallotPro | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,504 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 794d | BallotPro | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,506 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 807d | JishWa | Eric Hovde | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$314 +28% | 10 |
| 807d | JishWa | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$624 +30% | 10 |
| 809d |  50Whence | Eric Hovde | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | −$414 −32% | — |
| 816d | Postric | Eric Hovde | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$450 +43% | 10 |
| 819d | 50Whence | Eric Hovde | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$1,022 +45% | 10 |
| 819d | 50Whence | Tammy Baldwin | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | +$669 +43% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Wisconsin Senate election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tammy Baldwin means the market gives it about 100%.