| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 1,024 | 36¢ → 98¢ | $1,006 | +$640 +175% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 478 | 23¢ → 61¢ | $292 | +$182 +165% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 218 | 37¢ → 80¢ | $173 | +$93 +115% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,874 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $159 | −$278 −64% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 270 | 18¢ → 53¢ | $143 | +$94 +194% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 145 | 55¢ → 88¢ | $127 | +$47 +59% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 2d | No | 123 | 24¢ → 86¢ | $105 | +$76 +256% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 169 | 59¢ → 62¢ | $104 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Ends in 69d | No | 93 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $69 | +$6 +10% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 1d | No | 161 | 62¢ → 42¢ | $67 | −$33 −33% |
| Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?Ends in 419d | Yes | 144 | 51¢ → 43¢ | $62 | −$12 −16% |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 88 | 15¢ → 50¢ | $44 | +$31 +242% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 53 | 39¢ → 75¢ | $39 | +$19 +91% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 37 | 37¢ → 87¢ | $32 | +$18 +134% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 42 | 57¢ → 74¢ | $31 | +$7 +29% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 37 | 27¢ → 76¢ | $28 | +$18 +180% |
| Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 27 | 28¢ → 77¢ | $21 | +$13 +176% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 43¢ → 62¢ | $12 | +$3 +43% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 0¢ → 35¢ | $11 | +$11 +0.0% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 4d | Yes | 10 | 58¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$3 +57% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 62 | 51¢ → 10¢ | $6 | −$25 −80% |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 40¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$1 +138% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 61 | 26¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$14 −89% |
| Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 368 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$50 −97% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 47 | 21¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$9 −92% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 46 | 49¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$22 −97% |
| Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 2 | 13¢ → 15¢ | $0 | +$0 +15% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 838 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$323 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 350 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$201 −100% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 117 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 162 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,322 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$615 −100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 238 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 521 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 65 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 914 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$378 −100% |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 965 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$245 −100% |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 810 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 268 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will Samuel Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 298 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 466 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 225 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 634 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$146 −100% |
| Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,690 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$433 −100% |
| Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 247 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 166 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 871 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$151 −100% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 38 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,025 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$923 −100% |
| Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,346 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 249 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,928 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$270 −100% |
| GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 725 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 499 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 712 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$171 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 121 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,176 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$504 −100% |
| Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,970 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$789 −100% |
| Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 105 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 485 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$229 −100% |
| Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 445 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 283 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,939 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$391 −100% |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 257 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 423 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 243 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 145 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16,749 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$830 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 939 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 83%-84%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 104 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,526 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,385 −100% |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 54 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 187 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,784 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$624 −100% |
