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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 100% | +24 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Curaçao | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | −21 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 0% | −3 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119d | Marvelous-FigNew account | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,420 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | ChoiceMeteor2520 | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,393 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | Ecuador | SellNo>99¢ | $10,235 | −$10 −0.1% | — | |
| 119d | wangdandi | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $4,764 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | Gummy-CynicNew account | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $2,473 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | Nineta | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,149 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | mengduo | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | 0xe157…4f0e | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,719 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | radiator1989 | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | kushvardi | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $5,421 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 119d | Ecuador | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,132 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 119d | finalwhistle2 fills | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $121,442 | +$152 +0.1% | 4 |
| 119d | mGeB | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,786 | +$14 +0.3% | 4 |
| 119d | omoi0i03 fills | Germany | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $27,725 | +$754 +2.7% | 4 |
| 119d | omoi0i02 fills | Ecuador | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $42,072 | +$1,257 +3.0% | 4 |
| 119d | mengduo | Germany | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$42 +3.5% | 4 |
| 119d | wangdandi2 fills | Germany | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,339 | +$173 +5.2% | 4 |
| 119d | 0x0f34…76843 fills | Ecuador | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,369 | +$544 +5.8% | 4 |
| 119d | bitmapa2 fills | Germany | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,082 | −$206 −6.7% | — |
| 119d | Germany | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | −$89 −6.8% | — | |
| 119d | MORGANVIII | Ecuador | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,370 | −$1,370 −100% | 6 |
| 119d | MORGANVIII | Ecuador | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,047 | −$199 −3.9% | — |
| 119d | Germany | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,023 | −$228 −4.5% | — | |
| 119d | CryptoFortunate | Germany | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$65 +3.2% | 4 |
| 119d | omoi0i02 fills | Ivory Coast | BuyNo>99¢ | $90,053 | +$109 +0.1% | 4 |
| 119d | MORGANVIII2 fills | Ecuador | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$45 +1.4% | 4 |
| 119d | aHjCz | Ecuador | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$14 +1.4% | 4 |
| 119d | Siziriv | Ivory Coast | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,322 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 119d | Siziriv | Ecuador | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$19 +1.4% | 4 |
| 119d | jsbo | Germany | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,407 | −$205 −3.2% | — |
| 119d | cigarettes | Germany | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,114 | −$1,114 −100% | 6 |
| 119d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Ivory Coast | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,722 | +$927 +54% | 6 |
| 119d | omoi0i0 | Germany | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $2,924 | −$2,924 −100% | 6 |
| 119d | Gimmaer | Germany | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$678 −64% | — |
| 119d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Germany | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$480 −39% | — |
| 119d | blkmont | Germany | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $10,675 | −$10,675 −100% | 6 |
| 119d | cigarettes | Germany | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$600 +25% | 5 |
| 119d | Germany | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | +$668 +27% | 5 | |
| 119d | Ecuador | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$245 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 119d | purplegatto4 fills | Germany | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $14,703 | +$5,270 +36% | 4 |
| 119d | purplegatto | Germany | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,614 | −$1,614 −100% | 6 |
| 120d | Green-Masonry | Germany | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $19,835 | +$5,897 +30% | 6 |
| 120d | donthackme2 fills | Ecuador | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,009 | +$100 +3.3% | 4 |
| 120d | donthackme | Ivory Coast | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | +$424 +27% | 5 |
| 120d | Sierree | Ecuador | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,752 | −$171 −3.6% | — |
| 120d | donthackme | Curaçao | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 120d | Sierree | Ecuador | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,765 | +$158 +3.3% | 4 |
| 120d | Gummy-CynicNew account | Germany | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | +$518 +30% | 15 |
| 120d | neutralwave23 | Germany | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $4,692 | +$1,502 +32% | 6 |
| 120d | Marvelous-FigNew account | Germany | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$355 +33% | 18 |
| 120d | Subparconductor2 fills | Germany | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$840 +39% | 4 |
| 120d | vistamosaic | Curaçao | SellNo>99¢ | $1,339 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 120d | vistamosaic | Curaçao | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,328 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 120d | Germany | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | +$773 +37% | 4 | |
| 120d | Shimmering-GravelNew account | Germany | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$467 +37% | 15 |
| 121d | Germany | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $14,095 | +$5,213 +37% | 4 | |
| 121d | Sibarit87 | Ecuador | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$25 +2.3% | 4 |
| 121d | Ecuador | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $42,106 | +$1,175 +2.8% | 4 | |
| 121d | Ecuador | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,399 | +$431 +3.8% | 4 | |
| 121d | kushvardi | Germany | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,702 | +$1,739 +37% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Germany means the market gives it about 100%.