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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 100% | +8 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mexico | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Korea | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Africa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Canada | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brazil | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Morocco | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scotland | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haiti | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| USA | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paraguay | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Turkiye | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ecuador | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Curacao | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tunisia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egypt | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Zealand | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spain | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uruguay | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cape Verde | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senegal | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −12 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iraq | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Argentina | 0% | −8 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Algeria | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colombia | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DR Congo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| England | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Panama | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ghana | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Country A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Country B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Country C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Country D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Country E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96d | caesarswill | France | SellYes>99¢ | $1,005 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | Supportive-Capitalism | Argentina | SellNo>99¢ | $2,285 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 96d |  Venimous | France | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,343 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | Venimous | Argentina | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,464 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d |  MunichWeatherFrog | Spain | SellNo>99¢ | $2,510 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 96d | fintch | France | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$55 −4.5% | — |
| 96d | fintch | Argentina | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,939 | −$61 −3.1% | — |
| 96d | MunichWeatherFrog | Spain | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,439 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 97d | dovattia | France | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | −$186 −11% | — |
| 97d |  Parz1vaI | France | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$90 +8.7% | 4 |
| 97d | ndb1 | Spain | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,878 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 100d | flurkus | Argentina | SellYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,343 | +$1,343 +100% | — |
| 101d | zzzzsubul2 fills | France | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $9,017 | −$9,017 −100% | 4 |
| 101d | rplt-cto | Argentina | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,470 | +$1,256 +51% | 4 |
| 102d | nuop | France | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,915 | +$2,290 +79% | 4 |
| 104d | gustrot | Norway | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 105d | Timely-Discount2 fills | France | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $3,318 | +$4,460 +134% | 7 |
| 106d | Timely-Discount2 fills | France | SellYes41¢ → 100¢ | $4,120 | −$6,009 −146% | — |
| 110d | trashtier | Norway | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,549 | −$151 −9.8% | — |
| 110d | Tipsterman | Brazil | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 112d | zzqq35 | France | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$981 +98% | 4 |
| 112d | KristonTiti | France | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$1,307 +108% | 4 |
| 112d | VGR22 | Argentina | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,195 | −$1,195 −100% | 4 |
| 112d | KristonTiti | Argentina | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $4,213 | −$4,213 −100% | 4 |
| 113d | 0x49F206 | Norway | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,378 | −$69 −2.9% | — |
| 114d | P1kaso | Belgium | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,724 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 116d | AmazingAmy | Germany | BuyNo>99¢ | $54,779 | +$113 +0.2% | 4 |
StupidMonkeyyy1,162 shares
Snow-White739 shares
labistiiia636 sharesThis market resolves to the nation represented by the player who finishes as the top goalscorer across all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation represented by the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for France means the market gives it about 100%.