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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 3 | 0% | −4 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −5 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 10 | 0% | −3 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | −3 pts | −40 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144d | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 202d | April 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,122 | +$29 +0.2% | 20 |
Elon Musk posted on X that X Money, X’s digital payment system will launch early public access next month (See: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2031363107839438939?s=20). This market will resolve to “Yes” if X Money is launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. X Money must be launched and publicly accessible to qualify, including via open beta, open rolling waitlist signups, or any other form of early public access launch. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by X as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official platform. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from X; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 3 means the market gives it about 0%.