Rusty-Bead

Polymarket wallet 0x03651bf2d5ede6519d2fe03a7e02b0917491fb14 · on Polymarket since Mar 2, 2026

Positions now worth: $7.86
All-time profit: −$84.1
Volume traded: $6.93K
All-time rank: #2,570,103
Markets traded: 129
Recent hit rate: 94%47 of last 50 closed

Open positions

74 markets · $7.86

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 179d	Yes	20	10¢ → 13¢	$2	+$0 +25%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 179d	Yes	47	4¢ → 5¢	$2	+$0 +13%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 179d	Yes	15	13¢ → 13¢	$2	−$0 −3.4%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 179d	Yes	133	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$1 −43%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 21?Ends ended	Yes	4	54¢ → 1¢	$0	−$2 −98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	111	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	109	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	12	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	191	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	23	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	42	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	21	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	22	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	36	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	19	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	39	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	173	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	175	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	11	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	569	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	37	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	6	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	26	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	14	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	126	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	98	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	35	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	12	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	135	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	119	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	131	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	18	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	23	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	11	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	84	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	24	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	44	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	53	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	37	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	135	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	13	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	110	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$22 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	153	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	74	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	18	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	61	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	56	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	103	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	61	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	95	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	217	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	18	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	21	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	323	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	170	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	43	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
10h	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	BuyUp33¢	$1
10h	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	BuyUp56¢	$1
10h	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	BuyUp72¢	$1
10h	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 21?	BuyYes54¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	BuyUp48¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	BuyUp55¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	BuyUp47¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$10
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	BuyDown53¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	SellDown76¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BuyDown44¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	BuyDown44¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	SellUp93¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	BuyUp44¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	SellDown98¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	SellDown97¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	BuyDown42¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	BuyDown38¢	$10
2d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	SellUp99¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BuyDown9¢	$1
2d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BuyUp69¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BuyDown49¢	$1
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BuyDown49¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	BuyDown46¢	$2
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	SellDown97¢	$6
2d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	BuyDown87¢	$2
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	BuyDown53¢	$2
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	BuyUp2¢	$1
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	BuyUp12¢	$2
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	BuyUp26¢	$2
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	SellDown61¢	$11
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	BuyDown55¢	$10
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	BuyDown33¢	$2
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	BuyDown35¢	$2
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	BuyDown39¢	$10
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	SellDown55¢	$3
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyUp3¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	SellDown62¢	$7
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyDown17¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyDown14¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyDown24¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	SellUp79¢	$4
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	SellUp75¢	$2
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyUp43¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	BuyUp40¢	$2
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	SellDown93¢	$4
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp20¢	$1
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp13¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BuyDown49¢	$2
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	SellDown97¢	$22
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	BuyDown43¢	$10
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	BuyDown34¢	$1
3d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	BuyDown46¢	$2
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	BuyDown46¢	$1
3d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	BuyDown51¢	$2

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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