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Polymarket wallet 0x12e6fef25d11c9a9927a70007c3be726c9007122 · on Polymarket since Aug 12, 2025 · also shown as Alarmed-Struggle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,103 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,070 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,607 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,444 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,704 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23,351 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,601 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 865 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $999 |
| 274d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 274d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $90 |
| 327d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes10¢ | $1,607 |
| 331d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes15¢ | $1,606 |
| 332d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes21¢ | $997 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $998 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $3 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $2,705 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes12¢ | $2,708 |
| 337d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $2,482 |
| 434d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyYes14¢ | $150 |
| 434d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? | SellYes1¢ | $147 |
| 434d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? | SellYes3¢ | $3 |
| 437d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | BuyYes11¢ | $2,451 |
| 437d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? | BuyYes2¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.