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Polymarket wallet 0x1409b0e3449bb90f41e20bb3f28a8c8d5939ee77 · on Polymarket since Aug 27, 2024 · also shown as Tough-Migration
Everyone wants the truth on their side, but not everyone wants to be on the side of the truth. - Richard Whately
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 35¢ → 42¢ | $21 | +$3 +19% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 41d | Yes | 55 | 21¢ → 30¢ | $17 | +$5 +43% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $5 | −$2 −28% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 230 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 858 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 49 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.