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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 22, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 335d | XRP Up or Down - November 22, 2PM ET | BuyUp52¢ | $1 |
| 336d | Solana Up or Down - November 22, 4AM ET | BuyUp96¢ | $1 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4AM ET | BuyUp79¢ | $2 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $3 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BuyYes4¢ | $3 |
| 336d | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BuyYes90¢ | $2 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | SellYes5¢ | $2 |
| 336d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | SellYes14¢ | $5 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET | BuyUp64¢ | $1 |
| 336d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $4 |
| 336d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 7AM ET | BuyDown89¢ | $2 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.