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Polymarket wallet 0x15270a40e7915ecb0d5954abe95884473431d300 · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 107 | 50¢ → 84¢ | $90 | +$36 +68% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 107 | 50¢ → 16¢ | $17 | −$36 −68% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Knicks vs. SpursSettled - ready to redeem | Spurs | 2 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 54 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97d | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BuyYes42¢ | $2 |
| 144d | Knicks vs. Spurs | BuySpurs64¢ | $1 |
| 184d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,699 |
| 186d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,705 |
| 199d | Solana Up or Down - April 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown63¢ | $1 |
| 206d | XRP Up or Down on April 1? | BuyDown12¢ | $2 |
| 215d | Ethereum Up or Down on March 23? | BuyUp22¢ | $3 |
| 221d | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyDown23¢ | $13 |
| 260d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,450 |
| 262d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp62¢ | $2 |
| 263d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,450 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes38¢ | $16 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.