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Polymarket wallet 0x16ef1f5b4e6f3809ee68d74109581804ab32534f · on Polymarket since May 19, 2025 · also shown as Complex-Substance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 135 | 32¢ → 85¢ | $115 | +$71 +164% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 411 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 384 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 34 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.