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Polymarket wallet 0x18ae2af91188bdb4a1d0df9bb1b72a055c22a242 · on Polymarket since Jan 30, 2025 · also shown as Drab-Keep
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +127% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| DeepSeek V4 released before May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +54% |
| Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 621d | Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March? | SellYes11¢ | $0 |
| 629d | Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March? | BuyYes86¢ | $3 |
| 629d | Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? | BuyYes16¢ | $3 |
| 629d | Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | BuyYes28¢ | $6 |
| 630d | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $1 |
| 630d | Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday? | BuyYes51¢ | $2 |
| 630d | DeepSeek V4 released before May? | BuyNo65¢ | $1 |
| 630d | Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? | BuyYes44¢ | $1 |
| 630d | Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | BuyYes46¢ | $1 |
| 630d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ | $2 |
| 630d | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes28¢ | $1 |
| 630d | Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.