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Polymarket wallet 0x18ef83ff99d97aa00c049a677ebe4558de07328b · on Polymarket since Apr 1, 2026 · also shown as Second-Hand-Pudding
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 33¢ → 100¢ | $61 | +$41 +204% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 96 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,023 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 317 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,233 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125d | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BuyYes7¢ | $2 |
| 161d | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $21 |
| 175d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2 |
| 175d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $1 |
| 181d | Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | BuyYes1¢ | $25 |
| 181d | Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | BuyYes1¢ | $25 |
| 181d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $9 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BuyDown55¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BuyDown92¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BuyDown26¢ | $5 |
| 201d | Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | BuyYes12¢ | $30 |
| 201d | Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? | BuyYes32¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.