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Polymarket wallet 0x18efc4e4a6712a88544ef3e6e9df727dc80c6917 · on Polymarket since Mar 7, 2025 · also shown as Pointed-Larch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 66 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $66 | +$16 +32% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 98 | 51¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$46 −91% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 136 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 314 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes51¢ | $50 |
| 227d | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo76¢ | $50 |
| 227d | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyNo37¢ | $50 |
| 259d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2? | BuyYes15¢ | $50 |
| 259d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1? | BuyYes22¢ | $68 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.