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Polymarket wallet 0x1917817e5ff76ff1682649dd14832cc5efded7da · on Polymarket since Dec 27, 2021 · also shown as Fatal-Conservative
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115d | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes23¢ | $1 |
| 115d | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 115d | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 115d | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BuyYes41¢ | $1 |
| 209d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BuyYes23¢ | $1 |
| 209d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes24¢ | $1 |
| 281d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18? | BuyYes70¢ | $1 |
| 281d | Will there be at least 175 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes99¢ | $1 |
| 339d | Ethereum Up or Down on November 18? | BuyDown80¢ | $4 |
| 339d | Ethereum Up or Down on November 18? | BuyUp22¢ | $1 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 371d | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 371d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 17? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1 |
| 371d | Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BuyYes35¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.