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Polymarket wallet 0x1aad5de081d5f6e0fbc5ca5aa6d39047b0d74245 · on Polymarket since Nov 12, 2025 · also shown as Secondary-Toothpick
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 294 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,055 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$260 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 146 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 330d | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | BuyYes82¢ | $10 |
| 331d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes13¢ | $260 |
| 331d | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | SellYes2¢ | $8 |
| 345d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $72 |
| 345d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | SellUp99¢ | $34 |
| 345d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes26¢ | $19 |
| 345d | Will Disney say "Abu Dhabi" during earnings call? | SellNo30¢ | $18 |
| 345d | Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $19 |
| 345d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp58¢ | $20 |
| 345d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes27¢ | $20 |
| 345d | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 345d | Will Disney say "Abu Dhabi" during earnings call? | BuyNo34¢ | $20 |
| 345d | Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12? | BuyNo17¢ | $50 |
| 345d | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | BuyNo3¢ | $100 |
| 345d | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | BuyNo3¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.