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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 297d | denizz | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,103 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 299d |  Goopster | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,155 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 300d |  VegemiteLover2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,781 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 301d | tommyaltaccount | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,332 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 308d |  Crypto-Dawg | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,479 | +$23 +0.5% | 20 |
| 308d | Goopster | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 308d |  Arlette | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,413 | −$75 −0.9% | — |
| 324d |  TylerTurden3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,699 | −$252 −4.4% | — |
| 356d | Arlette | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,264 | +$224 +2.7% | 20 |
| 357d |  MortWalker | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$35 −3.5% | — |
| 361d |  NoClueAtAll | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,872 | −$107 −3.7% | — |
| 363d |  archaic | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$72 +3.3% | 20 |
| 368d | NoClueAtAll | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | +$124 +4.3% | 20 |
| 388d | TylerTurden | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$83 +6.4% | 20 |
| 398d | Thombg | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$82 +5.7% | 20 |
| 398d |  DFK | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$122 +8.2% | 20 |
| 405d | can111 | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$19 −1.9% | — |
| 411d |  SteamRollerPennies | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 461d | 1.3m | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | −$69 −4.4% | — |
| 461d | 1.3m | Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | +$66 +4.2% | 20 |
ElDandy995 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Afghanistan between June 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Afghanistan or the United States as of June 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.