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Polymarket wallet 0x1c5153ef2faea1c4cc8e53f977345c09e90d2bad · on Polymarket since Sep 20, 2024 · also shown as Glossy-Staff
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,814 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,707 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 54,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,244 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 723 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,988 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BuyYes8¢ | $55 |
| 311d | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | BuyYes1¢ | $13 |
| 317d | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $8 |
| 317d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 318d | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | SellYes3¢ | $22 |
| 319d | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $30 |
| 319d | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 319d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 332d | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 535d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyNo<1¢ | $4 |
| 535d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyNo<1¢ | $50 |
| 537d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $44 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.