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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz (CDU) | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alice Weidel (AfD) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert Habeck (Greens) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Olaf Scholz (SPD) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christian Lindner (FDP) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jan van Aken (The Left) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Heidi Reichinnek (The Left) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535d | alyssa21 | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,112 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | gfranklin | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,989 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | PanicSchlumpf19983 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,550 | −$139 −1.5% | — |
| 535d | alvinasw2 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,489 | −$74 −1.6% | — |
| 535d |  bosshog3 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,818 | −$141 −1.4% | — |
| 535d | cezarn132 | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,440 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | lowrisk242 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,284 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 535d | drrdre | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,418 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | Dave96 | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,790 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | Cumbersome-Manufacturing | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,980 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 535d | juniorBrise | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,178 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 535d |  wataprofi | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $5,495 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 535d |  MisTKy34 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $19,977 | +$611 +3.1% | 4 |
| 535d |  George-Simian | Alice Weidel (AfD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $89,092 | +$89 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d | cigarettes4 fills | Alice Weidel (AfD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,434 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d | cigarettes4 fills | Olaf Scholz (SPD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,434 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d | George-Simian | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,118 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d | Siziriv | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,396 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 535d |  HNIC9 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $62,865 | +$897 +1.4% | 4 |
| 535d | oVyg7f | Alice Weidel (AfD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,157 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d | oVyg7f | Olaf Scholz (SPD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,157 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d |  Aragorn-II | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d |  lmtfalone | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,863 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 535d |  Optimus- | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,374 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 535d |  occasionalAwareness | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellNo2¢ → 0¢ | $1,265 | +$1,265 +100% | — |
| 535d | juniorBrise | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,058 | +$123 +3.0% | 4 |
| 535d | Cbarbhwux | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $38,304 | +$1,307 +3.4% | 4 |
| 535d |  Car3 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $18,145 | +$677 +3.7% | 4 |
| 535d | wataprofi | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,307 | +$193 +3.6% | 4 |
| 535d |  SPIT | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,162 | +$117 +3.7% | 4 |
| 535d |  Chinese123 | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$74 +3.7% | 4 |
| 535d | Grunelli | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellNo3¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | +$1,001 +100% | — |
| 535d | MisTKy34 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $12,234 | −$478 −3.9% | — |
| 535d |  wiggamon114 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $17,286 | −$1,075 −6.2% | — |
| 535d | upp4 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $64,773 | +$1,079 +1.7% | 4 |
| 535d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,937 | +$163 +3.3% | 4 |
| 535d |  Alphax | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | +$71 +3.2% | 4 |
| 535d | Pel | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,115 | +$84 +2.7% | 4 |
| 535d | PanicSchlumpf19982 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,386 | +$303 +3.2% | 4 |
| 535d | rbczz3 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,389 | −$485 −3.4% | — |
| 535d |  Tenebrus73 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,924 | +$104 +1.8% | 4 |
| 535d |  GollumGekko | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,883 | −$117 −4.1% | — |
| 535d | 315182091412 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,807 | +$77 +2.7% | 4 |
| 535d | rbczz | Christian Lindner (FDP) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,771 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 535d |  Sivert2 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,555 | +$286 +5.2% | 4 |
| 535d | wiggamon114 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,002 | +$278 +1.1% | 4 |
| 535d | rbczz5 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $31,880 | +$858 +2.7% | 4 |
| 535d | EmilEisert | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$54 −4.9% | — |
| 535d |  Magalhaes | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | +$77 +4.3% | 4 |
| 535d |  Bogdanoff84 | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | −$113 −5.1% | — |
| 535d |  GoriIIa6 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $163,394 | +$3,435 +2.1% | 4 |
| 535d |  AuthenticDemigod2 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,704 | −$188 −6.9% | — |
| 535d | Dave962 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$143 +4.7% | 4 |
| 535d | alyssa21 | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$95 +4.7% | 4 |
| 535d | Cumbersome-Manufacturing | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,879 | +$103 +5.5% | 4 |
| 535d | yyyyyyy2 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,453 | +$417 +3.1% | 4 |
| 535d |  FATMAN2 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,740 | −$481 −6.2% | — |
| 535d | janonym3 fills | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,562 | +$678 +5.4% | 4 |
| 535d |  archaic | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,623 | −$138 −5.3% | — |
| 535d | hrck | Friedrich Merz (CDU) | BuyNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
Memelland74 sharesThis is a market on predicting the next Chancellor of Germany.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Friedrich Merz (CDU) means the market gives it about 100%.