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Polymarket wallet 0x1d8d41142aaa483ab430a8163fbba634352bfc8a · on Polymarket since Aug 19, 2024 · also shown as Broken-Carrot
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Annual inflation above 2.4% in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.