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Polymarket wallet 0x2428c1047599eed104229266c571cfba000e1e86 · on Polymarket since Dec 24, 2025 · also shown as Third-Brownie
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12,150 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,682 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28,819 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,844 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29,800 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16,053 −100% |
| Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,974 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,432 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,255 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32,000 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14,420 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 17 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.