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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 181 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 328d | Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $9 |
| 328d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SellYes8¢ | $9 |
| 336d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $2 |
| 336d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | SellYes2¢ | $2 |
| 337d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $20 |
| 337d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 337d | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | SellYes2¢ | $2 |
| 337d | Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | SellYes51¢ | $1 |
| 342d | Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 343d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 343d | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | SellYes15¢ | $2 |
| 343d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15? | BuyYes2¢ | $4 |
| 343d | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | BuyYes16¢ | $16 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.