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Polymarket wallet 0x2ba7d61c63fd0d6c3a40f02175ea37c54b3c2d88 · on Polymarket since Jul 19, 2025 · also shown as Winged-Evaluation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 68 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 435d | Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more? | BuyNo75¢ | $1 |
| 449d | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BuyNo83¢ | $20 |
| 449d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo85¢ | $37 |
| 457d | Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? | BuyNo88¢ | $18 |
| 457d | Will GPT-5 be released by August 31? | BuyNo37¢ | $15 |
| 457d | Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25? | BuyYes54¢ | $20 |
| 458d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 2AM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $20 |
| 459d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 1AM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 462d | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $20 |
| 462d | Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23? | BuyNo29¢ | $20 |
| 462d | Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23? | BuyNo33¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.