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Polymarket wallet 0x2dc978d0161e55150794cc8805b779a7f1646c5c · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026 · also shown as Hasty-Colonisation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 320 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
| 285d | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | SellYes1¢ | $2 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $4 |
| 285d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? | BuyYes3¢ | $2 |
| 286d | Will the US strike Mexico next? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 286d | Will the US strike Yemen next? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 286d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 287d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $8 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.