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Polymarket wallet 0x2e4e26a51b464201928c7c98563816cb35b27aca · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Medium-Pilgrim
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$210 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 722 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 453 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,149 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 767 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BuyYes29¢ | $131 |
| 283d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $130 |
| 283d | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $89 |
| 283d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes50¢ | $100 |
| 283d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes48¢ | $100 |
| 283d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes49¢ | $100 |
| 283d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes48¢ | $100 |
| 283d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes45¢ | $400 |
| 283d | Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $210 |
| 283d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes46¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.