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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215d | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$18 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 221d | Jenkyns6132 fills | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,881 | +$156 +4.0% | 20 |
| 240d | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,534 | +$48 +1.9% | 20 | |
| 246d | pkz3 fills | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,407 | +$648 +12% | 20 |
| 285d | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$92 +9.1% | 20 | |
| 286d | Rotorro | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,072 | +$307 +10% | 20 |
| 288d | pkz2 fills | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,969 | −$1,351 −19% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president of Spain José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.