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Polymarket wallet 0x2f8a4d1745bfda05dd8ca3cf6b56b2b5a2f49bb3 · on Polymarket since Mar 19, 2026 · also shown as Courteous-Lily
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,800 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68d | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BuyNo50¢ | $3 |
| 73d | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BuyYes42¢ | $0 |
| 81d | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BuyNo57¢ | $3 |
| 85d | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BuyYes52¢ | $3 |
| 93d | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BuyNo51¢ | $3 |
| 106d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? | BuyUp51¢ | $3 |
| 130d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo47¢ | $2 |
| 134d | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5 |
| 143d | Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BuyNo53¢ | $3 |
| 149d | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BuyYes49¢ | $2 |
| 157d | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes47¢ | $2 |
| 163d | Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 179d | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BuyNo21¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo65¢ | $3 |
| 205d | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BuyYes61¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.