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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +3 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 100% | +55 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 100% | +5 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 100% | +73 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | −1 pts | −12 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 100% | 0 pts | +97 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | −2 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Reza Pahlavi | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Lula da Silva | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maria Corina Machado | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Rutte | 0% | −3 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Carney | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | yougotme | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,612 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d | yougotme | Mark Carney | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 142d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Reza Pahlavi | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,176 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,993 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Pope Leo XIV | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,638 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Masoud Pezeshkian | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,434 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,737 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Maria Corina Machado | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,113 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d |  Gleaming-Pear | Yoon Suk Yeol | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,294 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | Yoon Suk Yeol | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 142d |  Ahpo | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,108 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 143d | Cal800 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,681 | −$34 −1.3% | — |
| 143d |  TylerTurden | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,368 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 144d | Cal800 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 144d |  datadash.XYZ | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,196 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 145d | aviato | Yoon Suk Yeol | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 145d | bearbees2 | Yoon Suk Yeol | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,290 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 145d |  Mr-Krabs | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | +$57 +4.2% | 4 |
| 145d |  Car | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | +$169 +6.8% | 4 |
| 146d |  andromeda-galaxy | Masoud Pezeshkian | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$30 −2.9% | — |
| 152d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Emmanuel Macron | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,166 | +$64 +0.9% | 4 |
| 152d | Ahpo | Emmanuel Macron | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,912 | +$102 +5.3% | 4 |
| 153d |  ZorroDeLaVega | Emmanuel Macron | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$187 +18% | 4 |
| 154d | bear-bees | Yoon Suk Yeol | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,082 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 154d | bear-bees2 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,196 | +$46 +2.1% | 4 |
| 156d | TylerTurden | Pope Leo XIV | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,913 | +$86 +4.5% | 4 |
| 160d | cccyun | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$84 +7.8% | 4 |
| 160d |  ZhangMuZhi..2 fills | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,461 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Ordon | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | zxc368 | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,000 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  OraculumNobius | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  x.o | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,272 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | NeoOracle | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,459 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  MajoriT | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,274 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | ligmaaaaa2 fills | Elon Musk | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,618 | +$161 +0.8% | 4 |
| 161d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | Friedrich Merz | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,014 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | Car | Friedrich Merz | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,335 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 162d |  mombil2 fills | Friedrich Merz | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,419 | +$239 +5.4% | 4 |
| 163d | Trustinghorse | Xi Jinping | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,858 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d | Xaci | Xi Jinping | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,994 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d |  STDgambler | Xi Jinping | SellYes>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 163d | 0x75ba…232b | Xi Jinping | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,218 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d |  elmcap2 | Xi Jinping | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,401 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 165d |  CosmicCedar | Elon Musk | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$38 +3.2% | 4 |
| 166d | Athletic-Manager2 fills | Xi Jinping | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,015 | −$155 −3.9% | — |
| 166d |  cookiejar | Xi Jinping | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,365 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 166d |  aenews2 | Xi Jinping | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,513 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 169d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,547 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 169d | Whole-RatingNew account | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,417 | +$104 +1.4% | 4 |
| 169d | 64539564936 | Ursula von der Leyen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | .FiveDollarFootlong | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 169d |  wbxxx | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,136 | +$42 +1.0% | 4 |
| 169d | Car2 fills | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,373 | +$92 +2.1% | 4 |
| 169d |  Mine-Carrying-Dolphin | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,527 | +$225 +6.4% | 4 |
| 169d | HornyBibi | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$195 +18% | 4 |
| 169d |  meagainsttheworld | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$2,544 +25% | 4 |
| 170d |  WarriorPooh | Emmanuel Macron | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$419 +19% | 4 |
| 173d | Rigid-Badge | Xi Jinping | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$65 +4.5% | 4 |
| 173d | Athletic-Manager | Xi Jinping | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$169 +4.2% | 4 |
| 175d |  Wagner275738 | Xi Jinping | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$104 +8.7% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Xi Jinping means the market gives it about 100%.