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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 25 | 48¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$11 −92% |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92d | Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting? | BuyYes96¢ | $1 |
| 92d | Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
| 92d | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BuyYes96¢ | $1 |
| 92d | Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | BuyYes90¢ | $1 |
| 92d | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes88¢ | $1 |
| 92d | Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | BuyYes94¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BuyYes48¢ | $12 |
| 180d | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 26? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BuyYes51¢ | $1 |
| 180d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | BuyYes89¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.