| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,967 | 57¢ → 81¢ | $2,389 | +$705 +42% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,755 | 61¢ → 94¢ | $1,641 | +$578 +54% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,893 | 56¢ → 65¢ | $1,232 | +$166 +16% |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 582 | 6¢ → 99¢ | $575 | +$538 +1461% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,967 | 41¢ → 19¢ | $558 | −$645 −54% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,893 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $518 | −$29 −5.2% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 526 | 63¢ → 92¢ | $484 | +$154 +47% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 487 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $479 | +$73 +18% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $424 | +$61 +17% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 517 | 64¢ → 78¢ | $403 | +$72 +22% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 381 | 69¢ → 79¢ | $301 | +$38 +14% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 436 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $297 | +$71 +31% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 200 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $195 | +$14 +7.9% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 200 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$25 +15% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,755 | 25¢ → 7¢ | $114 | −$326 −74% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 150 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $114 | +$9 +9.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 517 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $111 | −$12 −10.0% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 108 | 35¢ → 98¢ | $106 | +$69 +184% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 111 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $105 | +$8 +8.5% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 436 | 32¢ → 20¢ | $87 | −$54 −38% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,893 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $83 | −$4 −4.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $79 | +$8 +11% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 381 | 28¢ → 20¢ | $77 | −$31 −29% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 250d | Yes | 150 | 41¢ → 44¢ | $66 | +$5 +8.2% |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 67 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $64 | +$13 +25% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,893 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $59 | −$75 −56% |
| Will White House post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 50 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $45 | −$13 −23% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 250d | Yes | 150 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $44 | −$8 −15% |
| Will White House post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 40 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.2% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 526 | 31¢ → 8¢ | $39 | −$122 −75% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 40 | 13¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$34 +655% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 77¢ | $39 | +$20 +103% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 150 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $37 | −$2 −5.9% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 70 | 35¢ → 46¢ | $32 | +$7 +30% |
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 250d | Yes | 150 | 11¢ → 21¢ | $31 | +$15 +94% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 70 | 53¢ → 35¢ | $24 | −$13 −35% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Ends in 173d | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 48¢ | $24 | +$10 +76% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 43 | 77¢ → 54¢ | $23 | −$10 −31% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Ends in 173d | Yes | 50 | 53¢ → 45¢ | $22 | −$4 −16% |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?Ends in 60d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 39¢ | $20 | −$6 −22% |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?Ends in 60d | Yes | 50 | 31¢ → 37¢ | $18 | +$3 +19% |
| Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | Yes | 60 | 22¢ → 29¢ | $17 | +$4 +31% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 16¢ | $16 | −$7 −30% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | Yes | 60 | 31¢ → 26¢ | $15 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 436 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$3 −15% |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 20¢ | $13 | +$3 +31% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 111 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$2 −16% |
| Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | Yes | 60 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $9 | −$2 −21% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 43¢ | $9 | +$8 +2085% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?Ends in 173d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 15¢ | $8 | +$6 +286% |
| Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 582 | 84¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$482 −98% |
| Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 37¢ | $7 | +$7 +2001% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $6 | −$5 −45% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 7 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 487 | 16¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$72 −92% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 37¢ → 55¢ | $5 | +$2 +49% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$20 −79% |
| Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 4d | Yes | 60 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 440 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$8 −60% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 517 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$25 −83% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,774 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$13 −74% |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%?Ends in 60d | Yes | 50 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 60¢ → 69¢ | $3 | +$0 +15% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 31¢ → 32¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 28¢ | $3 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 5 | 24¢ → 54¢ | $3 | +$1 +123% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,774 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$114 −98% |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 476 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$5 −66% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$4 −62% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$6 −68% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 11¢ | $2 | +$2 +359% |
| Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$2 −48% |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 463 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$6 −74% |
| Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?Ends in 173d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.8% |
| Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 108 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$0 −19% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 5 | 29¢ → 35¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $2 | −$0 −19% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 7¢ → 15¢ | $2 | +$1 +108% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,990 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$5 −76% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 15 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −27% |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,742 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$10 −88% |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 391 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −85% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$1 +767% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 216 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −31% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $1 | +$0 +30% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$2 −64% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −36% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$5 −85% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,774 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$29 −97% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 5 | 5¢ → 17¢ | $1 | +$1 +259% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 548 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$28 −97% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 70 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,302 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$9 −93% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −58% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$0 −39% |
