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Polymarket · Climate
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | 98% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 97¢ · 99¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 38d |
| 4-6 | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 38d |
| 7+ | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 38d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d |  rabbit007 | Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$838 −82% | — |
| 45d |  HondaCivic | 4-6 | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,949 | +$181 +9.3% | 11 |
rabbit0074,484 shares
BeefSlayer2,651 sharesHondaCivic586 shares
LornaPredicts479 shares
Haradwaith419 shares
Pityok1100 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 98¢ for 1-3 means the market gives it about 98%.