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Polymarket wallet 0x38768a44774de3912303d8e4fc899b7f9b801b2d · on Polymarket since Dec 4, 2025 · also shown as Sneaky-Bead
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $14 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $8 | +$0 +6.7% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.8% |
| US bank failure by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 21 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.