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Polymarket wallet 0x3bc4b91dfae6dec5358776cc0fc7dae7db6f41e4 · on Polymarket since Nov 14, 2025 · also shown as Reliable-Kale
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 10,000 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $185 | −$115 −38% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 9,999 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $95 | −$75 −44% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,006 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,317 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$410 −100% |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.