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Polymarket wallet 0x3dc291a2cf503cb16379460f3a4c7c94c107b3c3 · on Polymarket since Jul 2, 2025 · also shown as Handmade-Ellipse
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,710 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Gothic vs A Great Chaos (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 Group A | Buy17¢ | $0 |
| 47d | Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 47d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyNo50¢ | $1 |
| 48d | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 48d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 200d | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $1 |
| 200d | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BuyYes44¢ | $2 |
| 281d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $35 |
| 478d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | BuyYes34¢ | $32 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.