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Polymarket wallet 0x3de44736fa88c5d24c79476f0eb2db5c1bc33c42 · on Polymarket since Sep 28, 2024 · also shown as Natural-Forelimb
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Magic vs. Trail BlazersSettled - ready to redeem | Trail Blazers | 5 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Cavaliers vs. SunsSettled - ready to redeem | Cavaliers | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | BuyNo47¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BuyNo30¢ | $1 |
| 212d | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | BuyYes26¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 267d | Cavaliers vs. Suns | BuyCavaliers52¢ | $1 |
| 301d | Warriors vs. Raptors | BuyRaptors45¢ | $2 |
| 304d | Magic vs. Trail Blazers | BuyTrail Blazers48¢ | $2 |
| 343d | Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 14? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 |
| 343d | Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 14? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 751d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | SellYes75¢ | $0 |
| 752d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes75¢ | $0 |
| 754d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes49¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.