Mlunardo

Polymarket wallet 0x3e0f4fd815f4fa45c906036cc584269727911132 · on Polymarket since Nov 30, 2025 · also shown as Inconsequential-Ark

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $16
All-time profit: +$2.45K
Volume traded: $107K
All-time rank: #44,791
Markets traded: 398
Recent hit rate: 68%34 of last 50 closed

Open positions

2 markets · $16

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	135	34¢ → 12¢	$16	−$31 −66%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d	Yes	13	23¢ → 4¢	$0	−$3 −84%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
175d	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes75¢	$186
179d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SellYes>99¢	$496
190d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BuyNo80¢	$202
190d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BuyNo80¢	$62
190d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	SellNo13¢	$275
196d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BuyYes89¢	$125
197d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$24
197d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$92
197d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$92
197d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$74
197d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$86
199d	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	SellYes>99¢	$499
199d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BuyNo80¢	$729
199d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo44¢	$500
199d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BuyNo78¢	$500
199d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BuyNo72¢	$19
199d	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	SellNo95¢	$595
199d	US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	SellYes55¢	$331
199d	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	SellNo54¢	$324
202d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BuyNo95¢	$475
202d	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	BuyNo70¢	$420
202d	US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BuyYes18¢	$108
203d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo84¢	$420
203d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BuyNo95¢	$128
205d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	BuyNo94¢	$282
205d	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BuyYes59¢	$295
205d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	BuyYes96¢	$234
205d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	BuyYes96¢	$5
205d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	BuyYes96¢	$48
206d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?	SellNo>99¢	$66
206d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	BuyYes95¢	$187
207d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo75¢	$95
207d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo75¢	$150
207d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo75¢	$30
207d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo75¢	$3
207d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo75¢	$75
207d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo75¢	$23
207d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SellNo>99¢	$556
211d	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	BuyNo98¢	$186
213d	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes77¢	$174
213d	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes77¢	$4
213d	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes77¢	$15
219d	US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SellNo74¢	$251
219d	US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BuyNo74¢	$251
220d	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	SellNo56¢	$77
220d	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	SellNo56¢	$174
221d	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BuyYes36¢	$16
222d	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	SellNo98¢	$15
222d	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	SellNo98¢	$1
222d	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	BuyYes23¢	$3
222d	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BuyYes33¢	$30
222d	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	SellNo98¢	$33
222d	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BuyNo55¢	$233
222d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SellNo98¢	$114
222d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SellYes99¢	$115
227d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?	BuyNo91¢	$60
227d	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BuyNo42¢	$10
227d	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes75¢	$33
229d	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes75¢	$122
229d	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	BuyNo80¢	$500

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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