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Polymarket wallet 0x3e2238335637a14df0ea4cd7954a2abe96931ba9 · on Polymarket since Mar 9, 2026 · also shown as Masculine-Waistband
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $143 | +$43 +43% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 47 | 53¢ → 95¢ | $45 | +$20 +79% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 78 | 32¢ → 9¢ | $7 | −$18 −73% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 34 | 73¢ → 10¢ | $3 | −$22 −87% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 204 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 147 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo34¢ | $50 |
| 142d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo49¢ | $100 |
| 142d | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | BuyNo70¢ | $101 |
| 205d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes32¢ | $25 |
| 205d | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo53¢ | $25 |
| 205d | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes73¢ | $25 |
| 205d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BuyYes41¢ | $10 |
| 229d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes26¢ | $2 |
| 229d | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BuyYes15¢ | $5 |
| 229d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.