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Polymarket wallet 0x3e68ef8baa7661b2d7d8db63cc5281e69ff412bb · on Polymarket since Aug 14, 2024 · also shown as Curvy-Sombrero
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$4 +59% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ | $10 |
| 333d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes81¢ | $5 |
| 441d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes63¢ | $6 |
| 441d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 584d | Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21? | SellYes87¢ | $9 |
| 584d | Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21? | BuyYes85¢ | $9 |
| 584d | Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | SellYes47¢ | $2 |
| 596d | Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | BuyYes79¢ | $4 |
| 596d | Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? | SellYes87¢ | $9 |
| 596d | Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? | BuyYes88¢ | $9 |
| 652d | Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | SellNo99¢ | $20 |
| 653d | Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | BuyNo91¢ | $18 |
| 668d | Berachain airdrop in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ | $10 |
| 676d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | SellYes97¢ | $6 |
| 682d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | BuyYes86¢ | $5 |
| 682d | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ | $9 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.