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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d |  ScottyNooo4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,622 | +$598 +5.1% | 20 |
| 206d | ears | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,226 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 206d |  Domino2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,300 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d |  BeneGesseritVoice | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,611 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 208d | ChampaLiberation | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 208d | Huludubu5 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,022 | −$318 −2.6% | — |
| 209d | SAPolitcsSeer2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,777 | +$185 +0.5% | 20 |
| 211d |  johnnyA | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$24 +1.9% | 20 |
| 211d | Storywriter | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$64 +2.2% | 20 |
| 211d | aaaaaag | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | −$43 −2.9% | — |
| 212d | Decent-Corporal | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | −$40 −2.8% | — |
| 212d |  scottilicious5 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $24,034 | +$2,146 +8.9% | 20 |
| 212d |  HowToBasic3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $13,052 | +$1,906 +15% | 20 |
| 213d | Decent-Corporal | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$115 +9.7% | 21 |
| 213d | Huludubu5 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $9,399 | +$1,867 +20% | 20 |
| 213d | Spiteful-TeletypeNew account | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,995 | +$104 +3.5% | 22 |
| 214d | Dependable-Pennant | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$77 +7.0% | 20 |
| 214d | HowToBasic2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,938 | −$162 −3.3% | — |
| 216d | PolBandit3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,935 | +$173 +1.5% | 20 |
| 217d | borisberezovsky | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | −$20 −1.6% | — |
| 218d | CiaoBilly3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,781 | −$114 −3.0% | — |
| 219d |  RajahSingh | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,439 | −$88 −2.5% | — |
| 220d | okcoolstorybro | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,388 | +$87 +2.6% | 20 |
| 224d | polca3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,418 | +$170 +3.1% | 20 |
| 224d | Serene-Decision3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $16,023 | +$1,913 +12% | 20 |
| 225d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,958 | +$574 +5.8% | 20 |
| 227d | h038596027355 | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,026 | +$153 +7.5% | 20 |
| 227d | Imperfect-Plan2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,343 | −$521 −9.8% | — |
| 227d | Imperfect-Plan3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,673 | +$435 +9.3% | 22 |
| 228d |  AlAhmeda | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$77 +7.5% | 20 |
| 229d |  pugdev | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $16,586 | −$1,207 −7.3% | — |
| 229d | Ansunghoon | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,021 | −$193 −6.4% | — |
| 229d | nonkenny903 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,777 | +$446 +7.7% | 20 |
| 230d | timetowander | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 20 |
| 231d | AuspiciousArt | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,351 | −$287 −8.6% | — |
| 231d |  ParaNormal | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$88 +7.5% | 20 |
| 232d | Mwhale | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | −$240 −14% | — |
| 232d | Passionate-Left | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,047 | +$253 +12% | 20 |
| 232d |  MEPP2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,771 | −$657 −14% | — |
| 233d | PennyPicker2025 | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$157 −12% | — |
| 233d | 0xf254…53c8 | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$127 −12% | — |
| 233d | 0xc978…aa84 | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | −$131 −12% | — |
| 233d | scottilicious | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $11,425 | −$1,203 −11% | — |
| 234d | lorry31222 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,315 | +$691 +11% | 20 |
| 235d | pugdev3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $15,508 | +$2,418 +16% | 20 |
| 235d |  KING-VIP23 | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | +$1,421 +100% | — |
| 236d |  KnureKnume | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,412 | +$1,412 +100% | — |
| 236d | KnureKnume | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,475 | −$1,475 −100% | 22 |
| 236d | makeadream | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,688 | −$651 −18% | — |
| 236d | AuspiciousArt | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | +$206 +14% | 20 |
| 236d | Skinny-Class4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $5,433 | −$5,433 −100% | 28 |
| 237d | PolJim | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $3,646 | −$3,646 −100% | 26 |
| 237d | denizz | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$252 +19% | 20 |
| 237d | makeadream | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,123 | +$514 +24% | 20 |
| 237d | Llalalala | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $5,026 | −$1,671 −33% | — |
| 237d | SushiAssasin | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | −$408 −27% | — |
| 237d | KrackenSruster | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$320 −23% | — |
| 238d |  Mr-Krabs | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,306 | +$494 +15% | 20 |
| 238d | MEPP2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,437 | +$1,541 +24% | 20 |
| 238d | idkwid | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$485 +24% | 20 |
RememberAmalek23,194 shares
grendagorl18,443 shares
tetrose10,865 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.