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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SellYes93¢ | $11 |
| 158d | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BuyYes80¢ | $10 |
| 254d | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 298d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 298d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 298d | Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | BuyNo4¢ | $1 |
| 298d | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 298d | Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.