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Polymarket wallet 0x40b763a2853ddcb980da41837260d788436cb1d3 · on Polymarket since Jun 25, 2025 · also shown as Scared-Mambo
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,338 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,884 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,892 −100% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 101 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 472d | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%? | BuyYes20¢ | $11 |
| 482d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | SellNo1¢ | $11 |
| 483d | US x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyYes4¢ | $100 |
| 483d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | SellNo58¢ | $100 |
| 483d | Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? | BuyNo40¢ | $1,978 |
| 483d | Iran x Israel conflict ends before July? | BuyNo31¢ | $914 |
| 483d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | BuyNo58¢ | $100 |
| 484d | Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%? | BuyYes23¢ | $11 |
| 484d | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 27? | BuyYes68¢ | $10 |
| 486d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo1¢ | $5 |
| 486d | Israel strike on Iran on June 26? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Israel strike on Iran on June 27? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Israel strike on Iran on June 28? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Israel strike on Iran on June 29? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Israel strike on Iran on June 30? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo1¢ | $6 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.