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Polymarket wallet 0x4198e7269e58eabb2e00d8d4617fa55fb104ae38 · on Polymarket since Oct 23, 2025 · also shown as Normal-Polyester
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 18,290 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $9 | −$137 −94% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,313 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| SBF released from custody in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,900 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$217 −100% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 106 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 42 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.