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Polymarket wallet 0x41d85b1cdb93d2e7dc2c90d550a3f5ec31ce9e50 · on Polymarket since Nov 12, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon out of Trump administration before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$30 +150% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $48 | +$26 +117% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 544d | Elon out of Trump administration before July? | BuyYes40¢ | $20 |
| 544d | US recession in 2025? | BuyNo46¢ | $22 |
| 544d | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | SellYes8¢ | $3 |
| 698d | Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | BuyYes16¢ | $11 |
| 698d | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | BuyYes29¢ | $10 |
| 698d | Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024? | BuyNo19¢ | $10 |
| 698d | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BuyYes34¢ | $10 |
| 698d | Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
| 710d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo71¢ | $11 |
| 710d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo51¢ | $20 |
| 710d | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November? | BuyYes32¢ | $10 |
| 710d | Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.