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Polymarket wallet 0x424e98c96493458fcdc987afd44afde235073520 · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Inferior-Mrna
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,250 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$92 −92% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 928 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$55 −94% |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,868 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$391 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,750 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,532 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$162 −100% |
| Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 4% on any day in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 639 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,833 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 377 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.