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Polymarket wallet 0x434612ae5894cf43ef23b6ae6211838c7a1d2241 · on Polymarket since Nov 19, 2025 · also shown as Silver-Laptop
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 434d | Anthropic | 285 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $271 | +$87 +47% |
| Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 146 | 50¢ → 72¢ | $105 | +$32 +43% |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 65 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $63 | +$2 +2.8% |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −88% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1 | 32¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.