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Polymarket wallet 0x4460f141408f5496de7cf57a3e51487f2b7654d1 · on Polymarket since Mar 28, 2025 · also shown as Previous-Grace
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 22 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $17 | +$2 +12% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$9 −47% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$2 −19% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.