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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IShowSpeed | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Lionel Messi | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Marcelo | 0% | −4 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Edu Aguirre | 0% | −4 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Sir Alex Ferguson | 0% | −4 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Wayne Rooney | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| m0NESY | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Piers Morgan | 0% | −3 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Karim Benzema | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Ricardo Quaresma | 0% | −4 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Drake | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Sergio Ramos | 0% | −4 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Joao Felix | 0% | −4 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Giorgio Chiellini | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Luka Modric | 0% | −3 pts | −9 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Casemiro | 0% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Rio Ferdinand | 0% | −4 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Gareth Bale | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Jose Mourinho | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Diogo Dalot | 0% | −4 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 0% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Dana White | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Jorge Jesus | 0% | −4 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Paulo Dybala | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Nininho Vaz Maia | 0% | −4 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Luan Santana | 0% | −4 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Ricardo Quaresma | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,181 | +$39 +0.5% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Luka Modric | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Wayne Rooney | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,561 | +$34 +0.2% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme | Drake | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,633 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 70d | Sergio Ramos | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,163 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 70d | Ricardo Quaresma | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,970 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 70d | yougotme3 fills | Leonardo Bonucci | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,976 | +$84 +0.5% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Jorge Jesus | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,795 | +$30 +0.3% | 4 |
| 70d | Karim Benzema | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,263 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Rio Ferdinand | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,315 | +$134 +0.9% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme | Gareth Bale | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,159 | +$17 +0.2% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme4 fills | Edu Aguirre | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,331 | +$453 +2.2% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Giorgio Chiellini | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,656 | +$30 +0.3% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme3 fills | Piers Morgan | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,488 | +$64 +0.4% | 4 |
| 70d | Ricardo Quaresma | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,592 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 70d | Joao Felix | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,180 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 70d | yougotme | Dana White | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,016 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme | Paulo Dybala | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,435 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Sir Alex Ferguson | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,868 | +$90 +0.8% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme3 fills | Marcelo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,646 | +$121 +1.3% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,334 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 70d | Arman2 | Marcelo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme | Karim Benzema | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$23 +1.2% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme | Luan Santana | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$14 +1.2% | 4 |
| 70d | Paulo Dybala | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Casemiro | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,932 | +$108 +3.7% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme2 fills | Diogo Dalot | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,593 | +$140 +3.9% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme | Joao Felix | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 |
| 70d | yougotme | Nininho Vaz Maia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 |
| 70d | Marcelo | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$61 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 70d | Sir Alex Ferguson | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,734 | +$451 +16% | 4 | |
| 70d | Marcelo | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,053 | +$96 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 70d | thoodr3 fills | Jose Mourinho | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,158 | +$43 +1.0% | 4 |
| 70d | dontshowmyname | m0NESY | SellNo>99¢ | $2,232 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 71d | m0NESY | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,337 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 71d | Giorgio Chiellini | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,227 | +$93 +4.2% | 4 | |
| 71d | Lionel Messi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,510 | +$82 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 71d | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,681 | +$47 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 71d | Joao Felix | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | +$93 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 71d | Marcelo | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$124 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 71d | Piers Morgan | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$64 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 71d | Dana White | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 71d | IShowSpeed | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,449 | +$106 +0.7% | 4 | |
| 72d | IShowSpeed | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$14 −1.1% | — | |
| 72d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Lionel Messi | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,068 | −$23 −1.1% | — |
| 73d | m0NESY | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,539 | +$52 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 73d | IShowSpeed | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $15,739 | +$574 +3.6% | 4 | |
| 73d | m0NESY | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,100 | +$180 +2.5% | 4 | |
| 73d | IShowSpeed | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$36 −3.3% | — | |
| 73d | Dana White | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,830 | +$86 +2.2% | 4 | |
| 73d | Lionel Messi | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$47 +1.9% | 4 | |
| 73d | m0NESY | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 73d | Lionel Messi | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,275 | +$60 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 73d | IShowSpeed | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$25 +2.2% | 4 | |
| 73d | IShowSpeed | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | +$52 +2.7% | 4 | |
| 73d | Sir Alex Ferguson | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $6,704 | +$2,539 +38% | 4 | |
| 73d | IShowSpeed | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,627 | +$48 +2.9% | 4 | |
| 73d | Marcelo | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$705 +35% | 4 | |
| 73d | Joao Felix | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$302 +29% | 4 | |
| 74d | IShowSpeed | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,594 | −$254 −5.5% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding. A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for IShowSpeed means the market gives it about 0%.