Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0x44a1efedccf54b5832b37c53cbc261245442fc9a · on Polymarket since Nov 3, 2025 · also shown as Candid-Massage
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 105 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $103 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 510 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$301 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$280 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down on February 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 170 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $101 |
| 109d | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SellNo93¢ | $333 |
| 218d | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BuyNo84¢ | $301 |
| 237d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4? | BuyNo59¢ | $301 |
| 257d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11? | BuyYes56¢ | $280 |
| 260d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 8? | BuyYes78¢ | $314 |
| 264d | XRP Up or Down on February 2? | BuyDown59¢ | $100 |
| 291d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | BuyNo>99¢ | $104 |
| 326d | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $104 |
| 348d | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $103 |
| 348d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SellNo98¢ | $103 |
| 352d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo98¢ | $104 |
| 352d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | SellNo98¢ | $2,516 |
| 352d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $2,516 |
| 354d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SellNo98¢ | $2,516 |
| 354d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $2,510 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.